v2.1 of Ch13
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---
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jupyter:
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jupytext:
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cell_metadata_filter: -all
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formats: ipynb,Rmd
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main_language: python
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text_representation:
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extension: .Rmd
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format_name: rmarkdown
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format_version: '1.2'
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jupytext_version: 1.14.7
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---
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# Chapter 13
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@@ -245,6 +232,7 @@ mult_test(fund_mini_pvals, method = "holm", alpha=0.05)[:2]
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As discussed previously, Manager One seems to perform particularly
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well, whereas Manager Two has poor performance.
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```{python}
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fund_mini.mean()
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"\n",
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"We include our usual imports seen in earlier labs."
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"We also collect the new imports\n",
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"source": [
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"## Review of Hypothesis Tests\n",
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"To begin, we use `ttest_1samp()` from the\n",
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"The $p$-value comes out to 0.931, which is not low enough to\n",
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"Since this is a simulated data set, we can create a $2 \\times 2$ table\n",
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"Therefore, at level $\\alpha=0.05$, we reject 15 of the 50 false\n",
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@@ -299,19 +299,20 @@
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"amounts to quite a weak signal, and it resulted in a high number of\n",
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"Type II errors. Let’s instead simulate data with a stronger signal,\n",
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"so that the ratio of the mean to the standard deviation for the false\n",
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"null hypotheses equals $1$. We make only 10 Type II errors.\n"
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"null hypotheses equals $1$. We make only 10 Type II errors.\n",
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" "
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]
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" "
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"source": [
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"## Family-Wise Error Rate\n",
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"As discussed previously, even for moderate values of $m$ such as $50$,\n",
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"The $p$-values are low for Managers One and Three, and high for the\n",
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"The `mult_test()` function takes $p$-values and a `method` argument, as well as an optional\n",
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"The $p$-values `bonf` are simply the `fund_mini_pvalues` multiplied by 5 and truncated to be less than\n",
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"Therefore, using Bonferroni’s method, we are able to reject the null hypothesis only for Manager\n",
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{
|
||||
"cell_type": "markdown",
|
||||
"id": "f762fecd",
|
||||
"id": "587b5b48",
|
||||
"metadata": {},
|
||||
"source": [
|
||||
"As discussed previously, Manager One seems to perform particularly\n",
|
||||
"well, whereas Manager Two has poor performance."
|
||||
"well, whereas Manager Two has poor performance.\n",
|
||||
" "
|
||||
]
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
"cell_type": "code",
|
||||
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||||
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||||
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|
||||
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||||
"execution": {
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||||
"iopub.execute_input": "2023-08-07T00:19:50.779763Z",
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@@ -694,7 +696,7 @@
|
||||
},
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{
|
||||
"cell_type": "markdown",
|
||||
"id": "88dbf0a6",
|
||||
"id": "e3c4b716",
|
||||
"metadata": {},
|
||||
"source": [
|
||||
"Is there evidence of a meaningful difference in performance between\n",
|
||||
@@ -705,13 +707,13 @@
|
||||
{
|
||||
"cell_type": "code",
|
||||
"execution_count": 14,
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||||
"id": "41149af6",
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||||
"id": "298d975d",
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"metadata": {
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"execution": {
|
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"iopub.execute_input": "2023-08-07T00:19:50.786752Z",
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"iopub.status.busy": "2023-08-07T00:19:50.786580Z",
|
||||
"iopub.status.idle": "2023-08-07T00:19:50.791095Z",
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"iopub.execute_input": "2023-08-21T02:29:17.996686Z",
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"iopub.status.idle": "2023-08-21T02:29:17.999332Z",
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||||
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"outputs": [
|
||||
@@ -733,7 +735,7 @@
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
"cell_type": "markdown",
|
||||
"id": "1aca6122",
|
||||
"id": "3908d7d2",
|
||||
"metadata": {},
|
||||
"source": [
|
||||
"The test results in a $p$-value of 0.038,\n",
|
||||
@@ -757,13 +759,13 @@
|
||||
{
|
||||
"cell_type": "code",
|
||||
"execution_count": 15,
|
||||
"id": "61aabda7",
|
||||
"id": "be117713",
|
||||
"metadata": {
|
||||
"execution": {
|
||||
"iopub.execute_input": "2023-08-07T00:19:50.793577Z",
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"iopub.status.busy": "2023-08-07T00:19:50.793394Z",
|
||||
"iopub.status.idle": "2023-08-07T00:19:51.318999Z",
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||||
"shell.execute_reply": "2023-08-07T00:19:51.318071Z"
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"iopub.execute_input": "2023-08-21T02:29:18.000853Z",
|
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"iopub.status.busy": "2023-08-21T02:29:18.000747Z",
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"iopub.status.idle": "2023-08-21T02:29:18.487357Z",
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|
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@@ -799,7 +801,7 @@
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
"cell_type": "markdown",
|
||||
"id": "e0084fc5",
|
||||
"id": "0fdf963f",
|
||||
"metadata": {},
|
||||
"source": [
|
||||
"The `pairwise_tukeyhsd()` function provides confidence intervals\n",
|
||||
@@ -817,13 +819,13 @@
|
||||
{
|
||||
"cell_type": "code",
|
||||
"execution_count": 16,
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||||
"id": "cbcad4de",
|
||||
"id": "537c4ea8",
|
||||
"metadata": {
|
||||
"execution": {
|
||||
"iopub.execute_input": "2023-08-07T00:19:51.321200Z",
|
||||
"iopub.status.busy": "2023-08-07T00:19:51.321046Z",
|
||||
"iopub.status.idle": "2023-08-07T00:19:51.411142Z",
|
||||
"shell.execute_reply": "2023-08-07T00:19:51.410682Z"
|
||||
"iopub.execute_input": "2023-08-21T02:29:18.489069Z",
|
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"iopub.status.busy": "2023-08-21T02:29:18.488949Z",
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"iopub.status.idle": "2023-08-21T02:29:18.570869Z",
|
||||
"shell.execute_reply": "2023-08-21T02:29:18.570427Z"
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"outputs": [
|
||||
@@ -845,7 +847,7 @@
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
"cell_type": "markdown",
|
||||
"id": "6278d13c",
|
||||
"id": "8590f246",
|
||||
"metadata": {},
|
||||
"source": [
|
||||
"## False Discovery Rate\n",
|
||||
@@ -858,13 +860,13 @@
|
||||
{
|
||||
"cell_type": "code",
|
||||
"execution_count": 17,
|
||||
"id": "b5842190",
|
||||
"id": "2c88ec87",
|
||||
"metadata": {
|
||||
"execution": {
|
||||
"iopub.execute_input": "2023-08-07T00:19:51.413331Z",
|
||||
"iopub.status.busy": "2023-08-07T00:19:51.413176Z",
|
||||
"iopub.status.idle": "2023-08-07T00:19:51.848427Z",
|
||||
"shell.execute_reply": "2023-08-07T00:19:51.847956Z"
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"iopub.execute_input": "2023-08-21T02:29:18.572454Z",
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||||
"iopub.status.busy": "2023-08-21T02:29:18.572341Z",
|
||||
"iopub.status.idle": "2023-08-21T02:29:19.005707Z",
|
||||
"shell.execute_reply": "2023-08-21T02:29:19.005387Z"
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"outputs": [],
|
||||
@@ -876,7 +878,7 @@
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
"cell_type": "markdown",
|
||||
"id": "80fc2fcc",
|
||||
"id": "80e77fab",
|
||||
"metadata": {},
|
||||
"source": [
|
||||
"There are far too many managers to consider trying to control the FWER.\n",
|
||||
@@ -887,13 +889,13 @@
|
||||
{
|
||||
"cell_type": "code",
|
||||
"execution_count": 18,
|
||||
"id": "7c9d8bed",
|
||||
"id": "b6d56819",
|
||||
"metadata": {
|
||||
"execution": {
|
||||
"iopub.execute_input": "2023-08-07T00:19:51.850663Z",
|
||||
"iopub.status.busy": "2023-08-07T00:19:51.850523Z",
|
||||
"iopub.status.idle": "2023-08-07T00:19:51.854777Z",
|
||||
"shell.execute_reply": "2023-08-07T00:19:51.854196Z"
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"iopub.execute_input": "2023-08-21T02:29:19.007847Z",
|
||||
"iopub.status.busy": "2023-08-21T02:29:19.007564Z",
|
||||
"iopub.status.idle": "2023-08-21T02:29:19.010742Z",
|
||||
"shell.execute_reply": "2023-08-21T02:29:19.010371Z"
|
||||
}
|
||||
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|
||||
"outputs": [
|
||||
@@ -916,7 +918,7 @@
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
"cell_type": "markdown",
|
||||
"id": "4f73096d",
|
||||
"id": "b4662444",
|
||||
"metadata": {},
|
||||
"source": [
|
||||
"The *q-values* output by the\n",
|
||||
@@ -932,13 +934,13 @@
|
||||
{
|
||||
"cell_type": "code",
|
||||
"execution_count": 19,
|
||||
"id": "bfa39f7c",
|
||||
"id": "b00da3a1",
|
||||
"metadata": {
|
||||
"execution": {
|
||||
"iopub.execute_input": "2023-08-07T00:19:51.856795Z",
|
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"iopub.status.busy": "2023-08-07T00:19:51.856678Z",
|
||||
"iopub.status.idle": "2023-08-07T00:19:51.859719Z",
|
||||
"shell.execute_reply": "2023-08-07T00:19:51.859327Z"
|
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"iopub.execute_input": "2023-08-21T02:29:19.012400Z",
|
||||
"iopub.status.busy": "2023-08-21T02:29:19.012298Z",
|
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"iopub.status.idle": "2023-08-21T02:29:19.015314Z",
|
||||
"shell.execute_reply": "2023-08-21T02:29:19.014978Z"
|
||||
},
|
||||
"lines_to_next_cell": 0
|
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},
|
||||
@@ -960,7 +962,7 @@
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
"cell_type": "markdown",
|
||||
"id": "ccb44c8d",
|
||||
"id": "fdccb808",
|
||||
"metadata": {},
|
||||
"source": [
|
||||
"We find that 146 of the 2,000 fund managers have a $q$-value below\n",
|
||||
@@ -976,13 +978,13 @@
|
||||
{
|
||||
"cell_type": "code",
|
||||
"execution_count": 20,
|
||||
"id": "70b69b47",
|
||||
"id": "1c230117",
|
||||
"metadata": {
|
||||
"execution": {
|
||||
"iopub.execute_input": "2023-08-07T00:19:51.861924Z",
|
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"iopub.status.busy": "2023-08-07T00:19:51.861522Z",
|
||||
"iopub.status.idle": "2023-08-07T00:19:51.864394Z",
|
||||
"shell.execute_reply": "2023-08-07T00:19:51.863987Z"
|
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"iopub.execute_input": "2023-08-21T02:29:19.016857Z",
|
||||
"iopub.status.busy": "2023-08-21T02:29:19.016769Z",
|
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"iopub.status.idle": "2023-08-21T02:29:19.019332Z",
|
||||
"shell.execute_reply": "2023-08-21T02:29:19.019032Z"
|
||||
},
|
||||
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|
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|
||||
@@ -1004,7 +1006,7 @@
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
"cell_type": "markdown",
|
||||
"id": "c8a969f4",
|
||||
"id": "6112239d",
|
||||
"metadata": {},
|
||||
"source": [
|
||||
"Figure 13.6 displays the ordered\n",
|
||||
@@ -1026,13 +1028,13 @@
|
||||
{
|
||||
"cell_type": "code",
|
||||
"execution_count": 21,
|
||||
"id": "4c0ddea1",
|
||||
"id": "62289650",
|
||||
"metadata": {
|
||||
"execution": {
|
||||
"iopub.execute_input": "2023-08-07T00:19:51.865978Z",
|
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"iopub.status.busy": "2023-08-07T00:19:51.865869Z",
|
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"iopub.status.idle": "2023-08-07T00:19:51.868792Z",
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"shell.execute_reply": "2023-08-07T00:19:51.868357Z"
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"iopub.execute_input": "2023-08-21T02:29:19.021112Z",
|
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"iopub.status.busy": "2023-08-21T02:29:19.020904Z",
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"iopub.status.idle": "2023-08-21T02:29:19.023622Z",
|
||||
"shell.execute_reply": "2023-08-21T02:29:19.023338Z"
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"outputs": [],
|
||||
@@ -1051,7 +1053,7 @@
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
"cell_type": "markdown",
|
||||
"id": "ddeb3900",
|
||||
"id": "c36b13b7",
|
||||
"metadata": {},
|
||||
"source": [
|
||||
"We now reproduce the middle panel of Figure 13.6."
|
||||
@@ -1060,13 +1062,13 @@
|
||||
{
|
||||
"cell_type": "code",
|
||||
"execution_count": 22,
|
||||
"id": "0314eac9",
|
||||
"id": "18b3c0ed",
|
||||
"metadata": {
|
||||
"execution": {
|
||||
"iopub.execute_input": "2023-08-07T00:19:51.871473Z",
|
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"iopub.status.busy": "2023-08-07T00:19:51.871214Z",
|
||||
"iopub.status.idle": "2023-08-07T00:19:52.126671Z",
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"shell.execute_reply": "2023-08-07T00:19:52.126261Z"
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"iopub.execute_input": "2023-08-21T02:29:19.025191Z",
|
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"iopub.status.busy": "2023-08-21T02:29:19.025074Z",
|
||||
"iopub.status.idle": "2023-08-21T02:29:19.262207Z",
|
||||
"shell.execute_reply": "2023-08-21T02:29:19.261823Z"
|
||||
},
|
||||
"lines_to_next_cell": 2
|
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},
|
||||
@@ -1096,7 +1098,7 @@
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
"cell_type": "markdown",
|
||||
"id": "83416f4a",
|
||||
"id": "d87198e4",
|
||||
"metadata": {},
|
||||
"source": [
|
||||
"## A Re-Sampling Approach\n",
|
||||
@@ -1110,13 +1112,13 @@
|
||||
{
|
||||
"cell_type": "code",
|
||||
"execution_count": 23,
|
||||
"id": "b59b8137",
|
||||
"id": "eb79e606",
|
||||
"metadata": {
|
||||
"execution": {
|
||||
"iopub.execute_input": "2023-08-07T00:19:52.129167Z",
|
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"iopub.status.busy": "2023-08-07T00:19:52.128842Z",
|
||||
"iopub.status.idle": "2023-08-07T00:19:52.208320Z",
|
||||
"shell.execute_reply": "2023-08-07T00:19:52.207936Z"
|
||||
"iopub.execute_input": "2023-08-21T02:29:19.264174Z",
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"iopub.status.busy": "2023-08-21T02:29:19.264030Z",
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||||
"iopub.status.idle": "2023-08-21T02:29:19.339232Z",
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||||
"shell.execute_reply": "2023-08-21T02:29:19.338912Z"
|
||||
},
|
||||
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|
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},
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||||
@@ -1145,7 +1147,7 @@
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
"cell_type": "markdown",
|
||||
"id": "5534c8d4",
|
||||
"id": "659ee2b8",
|
||||
"metadata": {},
|
||||
"source": [
|
||||
"There are four classes of cancer. For each gene, we compare the mean\n",
|
||||
@@ -1161,13 +1163,13 @@
|
||||
{
|
||||
"cell_type": "code",
|
||||
"execution_count": 24,
|
||||
"id": "96fb2f61",
|
||||
"id": "1afbcf47",
|
||||
"metadata": {
|
||||
"execution": {
|
||||
"iopub.execute_input": "2023-08-07T00:19:52.210235Z",
|
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"iopub.status.busy": "2023-08-07T00:19:52.210101Z",
|
||||
"iopub.status.idle": "2023-08-07T00:19:52.215004Z",
|
||||
"shell.execute_reply": "2023-08-07T00:19:52.214604Z"
|
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"iopub.execute_input": "2023-08-21T02:29:19.341009Z",
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|
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},
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|
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},
|
||||
@@ -1195,7 +1197,7 @@
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
"cell_type": "markdown",
|
||||
"id": "3131124e",
|
||||
"id": "61f24919",
|
||||
"metadata": {},
|
||||
"source": [
|
||||
"However, this $p$-value relies on the assumption that under the null\n",
|
||||
@@ -1214,13 +1216,13 @@
|
||||
{
|
||||
"cell_type": "code",
|
||||
"execution_count": 25,
|
||||
"id": "fdc229fa",
|
||||
"id": "f73f4c6d",
|
||||
"metadata": {
|
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"execution": {
|
||||
"iopub.execute_input": "2023-08-07T00:19:52.217206Z",
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"iopub.status.idle": "2023-08-21T02:29:21.776569Z",
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"shell.execute_reply": "2023-08-21T02:29:21.776267Z"
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||||
},
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||||
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|
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||||
@@ -1253,7 +1255,7 @@
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
"cell_type": "markdown",
|
||||
"id": "c7fc4557",
|
||||
"id": "a97f74af",
|
||||
"metadata": {},
|
||||
"source": [
|
||||
"This fraction, 0.0398,\n",
|
||||
@@ -1265,13 +1267,13 @@
|
||||
{
|
||||
"cell_type": "code",
|
||||
"execution_count": 26,
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||||
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|
||||
"id": "062daf19",
|
||||
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|
||||
"execution": {
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"iopub.execute_input": "2023-08-07T00:19:54.778563Z",
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"iopub.status.busy": "2023-08-07T00:19:54.778388Z",
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|
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|
||||
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|
||||
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|
||||
"shell.execute_reply": "2023-08-21T02:29:21.989965Z"
|
||||
},
|
||||
"lines_to_next_cell": 0
|
||||
},
|
||||
@@ -1307,7 +1309,7 @@
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
"cell_type": "markdown",
|
||||
"id": "3bd21158",
|
||||
"id": "e81b939b",
|
||||
"metadata": {},
|
||||
"source": [
|
||||
"The re-sampling-based null distribution is almost identical to the theoretical null distribution, which is displayed in red.\n",
|
||||
@@ -1325,13 +1327,13 @@
|
||||
{
|
||||
"cell_type": "code",
|
||||
"execution_count": 27,
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"id": "3b7392cb",
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"id": "6d14fcad",
|
||||
"metadata": {
|
||||
"execution": {
|
||||
"iopub.execute_input": "2023-08-07T00:19:55.019036Z",
|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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||||
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|
||||
"shell.execute_reply": "2023-08-21T02:34:05.929181Z"
|
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}
|
||||
},
|
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"outputs": [],
|
||||
@@ -1358,7 +1360,7 @@
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
"cell_type": "markdown",
|
||||
"id": "1b92df1b",
|
||||
"id": "06286699",
|
||||
"metadata": {},
|
||||
"source": [
|
||||
"Next, we compute the number of rejected null hypotheses $R$, the\n",
|
||||
@@ -1371,13 +1373,13 @@
|
||||
{
|
||||
"cell_type": "code",
|
||||
"execution_count": 28,
|
||||
"id": "cac15616",
|
||||
"id": "8f0ec909",
|
||||
"metadata": {
|
||||
"execution": {
|
||||
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|
||||
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||||
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|
||||
"iopub.execute_input": "2023-08-21T02:34:05.935513Z",
|
||||
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|
||||
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|
||||
"shell.execute_reply": "2023-08-21T02:34:06.117633Z"
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"outputs": [],
|
||||
@@ -1394,7 +1396,7 @@
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
"cell_type": "markdown",
|
||||
"id": "f6779ea0",
|
||||
"id": "e26b64c6",
|
||||
"metadata": {},
|
||||
"source": [
|
||||
"Now, for any given FDR, we can find the genes that will be\n",
|
||||
@@ -1412,13 +1414,13 @@
|
||||
{
|
||||
"cell_type": "code",
|
||||
"execution_count": 29,
|
||||
"id": "9661eb10",
|
||||
"id": "f11339e5",
|
||||
"metadata": {
|
||||
"execution": {
|
||||
"iopub.execute_input": "2023-08-07T00:39:19.546693Z",
|
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|
||||
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|
||||
"shell.execute_reply": "2023-08-07T00:39:19.549697Z"
|
||||
"iopub.execute_input": "2023-08-21T02:34:06.120138Z",
|
||||
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|
||||
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|
||||
"shell.execute_reply": "2023-08-21T02:34:06.123478Z"
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"outputs": [
|
||||
@@ -1457,7 +1459,7 @@
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
"cell_type": "markdown",
|
||||
"id": "001e3fc1",
|
||||
"id": "e145621b",
|
||||
"metadata": {},
|
||||
"source": [
|
||||
"At an FDR threshold of 0.2, more genes are selected, at the cost of having a higher expected\n",
|
||||
@@ -1467,13 +1469,13 @@
|
||||
{
|
||||
"cell_type": "code",
|
||||
"execution_count": 30,
|
||||
"id": "18ad4900",
|
||||
"id": "d2600773",
|
||||
"metadata": {
|
||||
"execution": {
|
||||
"iopub.execute_input": "2023-08-07T00:39:19.552090Z",
|
||||
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|
||||
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|
||||
"shell.execute_reply": "2023-08-07T00:39:19.554473Z"
|
||||
"iopub.execute_input": "2023-08-21T02:34:06.126460Z",
|
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|
||||
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|
||||
"shell.execute_reply": "2023-08-21T02:34:06.129124Z"
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"outputs": [
|
||||
@@ -1524,7 +1526,7 @@
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
"cell_type": "markdown",
|
||||
"id": "8767f70c",
|
||||
"id": "32e600ff",
|
||||
"metadata": {},
|
||||
"source": [
|
||||
"The next line generates Figure 13.11, which is similar\n",
|
||||
@@ -1535,13 +1537,13 @@
|
||||
{
|
||||
"cell_type": "code",
|
||||
"execution_count": 31,
|
||||
"id": "28c276b6",
|
||||
"id": "924b7705",
|
||||
"metadata": {
|
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"execution": {
|
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"iopub.execute_input": "2023-08-07T00:39:19.556715Z",
|
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|
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|
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@@ -1566,18 +1568,18 @@
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{
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|
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"id": "e4b5d621",
|
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"id": "b9f54695",
|
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"metadata": {},
|
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"source": [
|
||||
"\n"
|
||||
" \n"
|
||||
]
|
||||
}
|
||||
],
|
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"metadata": {
|
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"jupytext": {
|
||||
"cell_metadata_filter": "-all",
|
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"formats": "ipynb,Rmd",
|
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"main_language": "python"
|
||||
"main_language": "python",
|
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"notebook_metadata_filter": "-all"
|
||||
},
|
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"language_info": {
|
||||
"codemirror_mode": {
|
||||
|
||||
Reference in New Issue
Block a user